Matt Fargo

This is a play on the WISCONSON BADGERS for our Tuesday Free Play. Michigan is off to a 6-1 start with the only loss coming against Wake Forest by a bucket on a neutral floor in Greensboro. This is the first season under head coach Dusty May as he looks to turn around a program that Juwan Howard ran into the ground and he is off to a good start considering Michigan won only eight games all of last season. This is the first true road game for the Wolverines and while May is no stranger to big games away from home while at Florida Atlantic, this is a whole different animal as it is not only his first road game at Michigan but his first Big 10 road game. Wisconsin is a perfect 8-0 including a 6-0 record at the Kohl Center, one of the tougher environments in the conference. They have a pair of solid wins at the Greenbrier Tipoff over UCF and Pittsburgh but most impressive was their 15-point home win over Arizona. They are one of the higher scoring teams in the country with 85.3 ppg which is No. 30 and with a short favorite like this, one key factor is free throw shooting and Wisconsin does it better than everyone else in the country at 86.4 percent. Michigan is nearly 20 percent less than that at 66.7 percent which is No. 292. Play (646) Wisconsin Badgers

CBB off a tough loss with Yale and we rebound Tuesday with a loaded card with SIX Winners along with THREE Winners in the NBA. NFL 43-33-3 Run. Over the last 2+ NFL Regular Seasons, Fargo is 168-134-4 (+$24,240). CFB Game of the Year upcoming!

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS as part of our NBA Tuesday Three-Pack. This is the contrarian play with a contrarian line. The first question is why is Sacramento favored here? The Kings have lost six of their last seven games to fall to 9-12 and this includes just a 4-7 record at home. This has been a disappointment early on and the Kings have struggled despite playing the No. 25 ranked schedule in the league and have been average on both ends of the floor. They are 1-8 ATS over their last eight games which adds to the contrarian aspect. Houston has been just the opposite as it has won and covered three straight while going 10-1 ATS over its last 11 games which again, contrarian. The Rockets are 15-6 and lead the Southwest Division and are a half-game behind Oklahoma City for first place in the Western Conference. 70 percent of the money is on Houston but the line has risen slightly. Contrarian again. By game time, we think Houston may shift to the favorite which brings in a system where we play against road favorites after two straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +4.1 ppg. 10* (518) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS as part of our NBA Tuesday Three-Pack. We have a false favorite in our opinion and based on our numbers. Indiana had won three straight games but has since lost two in a row by 14 and 15 points and this is not the same Pacers team from last season. They remain on the road where they are 2-9 and bring in one of the worst defenses in the league which the offense has not been able to overcome with Indiana ranked No. 23 in Net Efficiency which is actually two spots below Toronto. The Raptors are 4-3 over their last seven games with the streak starting here against Indiana in an 11-point win. All three of those losses were on the road where they have struggled with a 1-11 record but come in 5-4 at home following a three-point win over Miami on Sunday. The Raptors are close to Indiana in offense and are healthy once again while their defense is not great but has the edge here. Toronto is 4-0 ATS at home against teams allowing 46 percent shooting or higher. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging between 114 and 118 after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game going up against teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +6.7 ppg. 10* (508) Toronto Raptors

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our NBA Tuesday Three-Pack. Following a win over Indiana in an NBA Cup game on Friday but followed that up with a 15-point loss to the Sixers as Cade Cunningham was a late scratch at home Saturday night against the Philadelphia with a left sacroiliac joint sprain but he is not on the injury report following a couple days off. The Pistons remain home where they are 4-6 and this is just their fourth home game since November 13. With a win, they will progress to the knockout round, slated for December 10-11. Milwaukee is playing its best basketball of the season as it has won six straight games but only one of those was on the road, a three-point win at Miami. The Bucks are 2-6 away from home and while they have dominated this series, this is arguably the best Detroit team they have seen in a while. They won the first meeting this season at home but it took overtime as a seven-point favorite and they are a bit overvalued based on their run and we are not sure how much motivation they are going to have compared to the Pistons. Here, we play on home underdogs revenging a road loss, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 73-35 ATS (67.6 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of -1.0 ppg. 10* (506) Detroit Pistons

This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our CBB Tuesday Star Attraction. Mississippi went to San Diego and came away with a 1-1 split and that was fortunate as one of those wins took overtime against BYU although it did play Purdue tough in a two-point loss but the Boilermakers are not what they were. Now at 6-1, we still feel the Rebels are overvalued as they came into the season ranked No. 24 in the country in the AP Poll which shows this poll means nothing as they are No. 42 at KenPom after coming into the season as the No. 9 ranked team in the SEC. Now comes their first true road game of the season. Louisville finished 8-24 last season including 3-17 in the ACC and it was time for a complete rebuild which is what is going on. Head coach Pat Kelsey has had great success at his stops namely Winthrop and College of Charleston and he is the guy to turn this program around. The Cardinals already have five wins including impressive wins over Indiana and West Virginia at the Battle 4 Atlantis which also included a five-point loss against undefeated Oklahoma. Another test here but a very passable one. 10* (652) Louisville Cardinals

This is a play on the PROVIDENCE FRIARS for our CBB Tuesday Signature Enforcer. It was not a good trip to the Bahamas for Providence as it lost three games in three days at the Battle 4 Atlantis, all defeats getting progressively worse. A tough two-point loss set the tone and the Friars could not recover but now they are back home where they are 5-0 and in a great bounce back spot with a great line based on recent results. They failed to cover the last two games of the tournament while the other three non-covers were games where they were favored by at least 15 points. BYU opened the season 5-0 before traveling to San Diego for the Rady Children's Invitational where it lost to Mississippi before defeating NC State. The Cougars first five games were at home against inferior competition where they were favored by at least 21 points each time out which led to the easiest schedule in the country at that point. Now they hit the road for their first true road game in a difficult spot heading all the way out east and being asked to win by a significant margin. This is a big overlay in what is a really bad situation for the Cougars. 10* (642) Providence Friars

This is a play on the BRADLEY BRAVES for our CBB Tuesday Conference Game of the Month. We are not usually proactive to grab a road team in a conference opener but in this case, it makes sense as we are backing a short road favorite that is too short. Bradley heads into Tuesday with a 7-1 record and while that lone loss is its only road game, it was at Washington St. where the Braves were underdogs. They have rolled in all but one of their seven wins, the only exception being a three-point win over a very good Wright St. team. Bradely is the favorite to win the Missouri Valley Conference and this is one they want to get it started. Southern Illinois is 3-5 having played a fairly difficult schedule but it has had winnable games it has not won and of the three wins, only one has come against a Division 1 team. The Salukis finished middle of the pack last season and that is where they are picked again with no starters back, just over 20 ppg returning and a new head coach in their first ever MVC game. They are hitting only 66.8 percent of their free throws which is No. 288 in the country and that is a stat no matter how hard the schedule may have been. 10* (637) Bradley Braves

This is a play on the DUQUESNE DUKES for our CBB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. St. Peter's opened the season 0-3 but has won three straight games to even its record with two of those coming on the road but they were against UMBC and FDU and were favored in both. The Peacocks three losses were also all on the road and while they covered all three of those, they were getting huge numbers and that is not the case here. They might still be getting a little too much credit from their improbable run to the NCAA Tournament after winning the MAAC Tournament and having lost one of the best players in the conference. Duquesne also made the NCAA Tournament last season and won a first round game over BYU and like St. Peter's, a return trip will be tough. The Dukes have a new head coach in Dru Joyce but he kept a decent core and got a solid group of transfers and while they are off to a 1-6 start, that one win came last time out to provide some momentum. This is just their third home game with the first two resulting in close losses and they catch St. Peter's looking ahead to conference action that starts Friday at home. 10* (624) Duquesne Dukes

This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our CBB Tuesday SEC/ACC Challenge Top Tip. Missouri opened the season with a loss at Memphis and has run off six straight wins since then but it has been against no one as the Tigers were favored between 18 and 35 points in those games and yet they only covered three of those. Last season was a disaster as Missouri started off well similar to this season but failed to win a single game in the SEC as it went 0-19 and while it will not be that bad this year, there is not expected to be too much progression. The Tigers should not be laying close to double digits to another Power 4 team, especially having played the No. 364 ranked team in the country. California improved from three wins to 13 wins last season and while it is picked to finish last in the ACC, there is a different culture here under head coach Mark Madsen. We played against the Golden Bears at Vanderbilt on November 13 and that was their last loss as they have won four straight games including a solid win at USC. They are now catching their biggest number of the season in what could be one of the better SEC/ACC Challenge games. 10* (611) California Golden Bears

This is a play on the EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS for our CBB Tuesday Ultimate Underdog. Eastern Illinois is off to a 2-5 start to the season, playing the No. 18 ranked schedule in the country as it has lost to the likes of Illinois, Indiana and Northwestern of the Big 10 Conference. Four of those losses came when getting a similar or bigger number and the Panthers went 2-2 ATS while the fifth loss was against Valparaiso but that was their fourth consecutive road game so they just ran out of gas. This is an experienced team that is expected to make a run near the top of the OVC. Butler opened 1-1 against Missouri St. and Austin Peay but has won five straight games while covering all five of those as well which is adding value the other way. The most recent win was a solid one against Mississippi St. in Tempe and that can provide some letdown aspects and now the Bulldogs are laying their biggest number on the season with Houston on deck. Butler won against Northwestern on a neutral floor by two points while Eastern Illinois lost at Northwestern by nine points so that is not a huge differential based on margin and venue. 10* (603) Eastern Illinois Panthers